Wash Sale Edition: BULZ or BERZ or BIL (from TQQQ or Not)
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
A daily, rule-based mix between BULZ (3x long tech), BERZ (3x inverse tech), and BIL (short-term cash). It uses short-term momentum (RSI), recent returns, volatility signals, and risk checks to switch bets and size positions, with occasional hedges and bonds for risk control. It’s a leveraged, dynamically rebalanced strategy designed to ride tech upswings while limiting drawdowns in tougher times.
Plain-language flow: The strategy picks one of three core positions each day: BULZ (3x long tech), BERZ (3x inverse tech), or BIL (short-term cash-like). It uses short-term momentum and risk signals to decide which to prefer. Key signals include:
- RSI checks on a tech proxy (TQQQ) to judge whether tech momentum is extreme; very high RSI (>79) nudges toward BERZ as a hedge, while very low RSI (below 32) nudges toward BULZ on a mean-reversion bias.
- Additional signals compare recent performance or returns (cumulative-return over different windows) to decide whether conditions are “Huge volatility,” “Normal market,” or “Bond-dominant.”
- In volatile conditions, a UVXY hedge (volatility ETF) may be considered; in more normal markets, the system leans toward BIL (a cash-like asset).
- Bond-related logic looks at relative strength among stock vs bond proxies (e.g., SPY vs various Treasuries) and uses bonds to temper risk when stocks look weak.
- The strategy uses moving-average checks and standard deviation/max-drawdown lookbacks (e.g., 10, 25, 60, 200-day windows) to avoid buying into weakening trends or exiting when risk is rising.
- Weights are applied to the chosen assets (often substantial allocations to BULZ or BERZ with a secondary balance in cash-like BIL or bond proxies). The design shows weights like 85/100 in some branches and 50/100 in others, indicating sizable but not total commitment to the chosen path. Rebalancing happens daily, and the final choice is presented under a label like “Wash Sale Edition: BULZ or BERZ or BIL.”
In short: on any given day, the system runs through a set of signals to decide whether to be very bullish on a tech theme (BULZ), hedged/defensive against tech (BERZ), or parked in a short-term cash proxy (BIL), with risk controls and occasional hedges shaping the exact mix. The end goal is to capture upside in tech when conditions are favorable while limiting drawdown during stress, using a ladder of signals rather than a single indicator.
Out-of-sample: 25.8% vs 21.7% for the S&P. A dynamic, tech-focused, risk-managed mix with leverage and hedges targeting higher upside while risk controls aim to cap drawdowns.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.69 | 1.62 | 0.24 | 0.49 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 62.56% | 11.24% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.7 | |
| 2,646.2% | 106.8% | 7.68% | 2.55% | 1.54 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$274,619.92Regulatory Fees
$868.65
Total Slippage
$4,879.89
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Dec 17, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Risk-managed leveraged etf strategy, dynamic asset allocation, momentum and mean-reversion signals, volatility hedging, cash/bond risk control
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 11 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BERZ
MicroSectors FANG & Innovation -3x Inverse Leveraged ETN
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BULZ
MicroSectors FANG & Innovation 3x Leveraged ETN
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks