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About

A tactical, contrarian strategy that rotates among BTAL, SVXY, XLE, and BIL. It parks in cash when volatility rises, flips to BTAL when markets look overheated, and otherwise mixes BTAL/SVXY (and sometimes XLE) when trends are calm.
NutHow it works
It only buys 4 funds: BTAL (anti‑beta), SVXY (short volatility), XLE (energy), BIL (T‑Bills). It first checks volatility (via UVXY). If vol is rising, it hides in BIL. If the market is okay, it checks for “too hot” readings (RSI: a 0–100 heat meter; >80=too hot). Hot = switch to BTAL. Otherwise it mixes BTAL and SVXY based on trend and bond‑vs‑Nasdaq strength, sometimes adding XLE.
CheckmarkValue prop
Out-of-sample, volatility-aware contrarian strategy: ~22% annualized return, ~12% max drawdown, beta ~0.16, Calmar ~1.78, alpha ~0.17. Higher risk-adjusted gains vs SPY with lower downside.
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Nov 25, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 1%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, volatility-aware, contrarian, factor (anti-beta), short volatility, multi-asset, risk management, energy tilt, cash management
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 0 assets in total
Ticker
Type