<W> ( Apr 12 2011 ) Word is Bond Combo 2x-3x [26.5 / 34.0] Kunnakudi-JM
Today’s Change (Mar 20, 2026)
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About
A weekly, rules‑based strategy that reads Treasury‑bond signals and a volatility tripwire to decide when to own 2x/3x S&P 500 (SSO/SPXL) and when to sit in T‑bills (BIL). Nasdaq sleeves are present but currently off.
Each week it asks two things: 1) Is market volatility overheated? It uses VIXY’s RSI (a 0–100 score of recent price strength). If too hot, it holds T‑bills (BIL).
2) If not, it splits into 2x and 3x S&P 500 sleeves. Each sleeve runs five simple yes/no checks comparing recent strength of several Treasury‑bond funds to stocks. For each “yes,” that slice buys SSO (2x) or SPXL (3x); for “no,” it parks in BIL. Nasdaq sleeves exist but are currently off.
Out-of-sample annualized return ~33.7% vs ~22.6% for the S&P, with a disciplined weekly risk-on/off system using bonds and a volatility gate. Higher upside with controlled downside (Calmar ~1.13) by leveraging S&P when favorable.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.08 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.89 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 546.23% | 13.23% | -3.61% | -3.05% | 0.81 | |
| 2,909.61% | 25.45% | -5% | -7.41% | 1.04 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$300,961.39Regulatory Fees
$252.46
Total Slippage
$1,442.52
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 17, 2023
Trading Setting
Weekly
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, leveraged s&p 500, momentum/rsi, bonds-as-signals, volatility filter, risk-on/off, weekly rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 13 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SSO
ProShares Ultra S&P500
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks