<W> ( Apr 12 2011 ) Word is Bond Combo 2x-3x [26.5 / 34.0] Kunnakudi-JM
Today’s Change (Oct 22, 2026)
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About
A high-risk timing strategy that uses bond-market clues and a volatility “panic button” to decide how much to hold in leveraged S&P 500 funds versus safe short-term Treasury bills.
Each week, the strategy first checks if market fear is unusually high using VIXY, a volatility fund. If fear is too high, it moves everything to very short-term Treasury bills (BIL).
If fear is calmer, it gradually buys leveraged S&P 500 funds—2x (SSO) and 3x (SPXL)—based on 5 bond-market tests. More positive signals = more stock exposure; failed tests stay in BIL.
Out-of-sample annualized return: 28.4% vs SPY ~21%; Sharpe ~1.11, Calmar ~0.95. A weekly, bond-signal timing strategy that may deliver stronger upside than the S&P 500, with built-in volatility gating to help manage risk.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.9 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 663.09% | 13.91% | -0.05% | 3.57% | 0.85 | |
| 3,637.41% | 26.11% | -0.74% | 3.85% | 1.06 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$373,740.77Regulatory Fees
$237.22
Total Slippage
$1,612.22
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 17, 2023
Trading Setting
Weekly
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, leveraged equity, market timing, risk-managed, s&p 500, volatility filter
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 13 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SSO
ProShares Ultra S&P500
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks