Volatility Theory
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily, rules‑based “heat vs. fear” timer. It fades stock melt‑ups with volatility (UVXY), buys tech on deep dips (TECL), holds VIX or anti‑beta (BTAL) when fear builds, and parks in T‑bills (SHV) in panics or calm. Highly tactical and risky.
Daily it reads two dials: stock heat (QQQ/SPY) and fear (the VIX). RSI—think a 0–100 speedometer of recent moves—drives choices.
- Stocks too hot → buy volatility (UVXY).
- Tech washed out → buy a fast tech rebound (TECL).
- Fear rising (not extreme) → hold VIX (VIXY) or an anti‑beta hedge (BTAL).
- Extreme fear or calm → sit in T‑bills (SHV).
Diversified, rules-based strategy blending volatility hedges (UVXY/VIXY), anti-beta, TECL and SHV to complement the S&P. OOS: 10.95% annualized return, Sharpe 0.44, Calmar 0.47, max drawdown 23.5% — regime diversification beyond SPY.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.62 | -0.06 | 0 | -0.02 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 637.49% | 14.93% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.91 | |
| 214,926.19% | 70.63% | 12.06% | 12.74% | 1.45 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$21,502,619.16Regulatory Fees
$30,703.74
Total Slippage
$214,337.72
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 9, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Volatility timing, contrarian, vix funds, leveraged etfs, tactical allocation, market neutral, cash/t-bills, daily rebalanced
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 7 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
VIXY
ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks