Volatility Theory
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily, rules‑based switch among cash (SHV), volatility funds (UVXY/VIXY), a defensive anti‑beta fund (BTAL), or 3× tech (TECL). It buys volatility after overbought markets, buys 3× tech after oversold tech, and otherwise stays defensive.
It runs daily checks on simple “heat” scores (RSI, 0–100) for big U.S. stock baskets: QQQ (Nasdaq 100) and SPY (S&P 500). If they look extremely hot (>80), it buys UVXY, a fund that jumps when fear (VIX) spikes. If the trend is only moderately strong, it may hold VIXY or BTAL (a defensive anti‑beta fund) if volatility is heating up; otherwise it parks in SHV (T‑bills). If QQQ looks washed‑out (<31), it buys TECL, a 3× tech fund, for a rebound.
Out-of-sample shows ~11% annual return with a 0.44 Sharpe, and higher drawdown than SPY (23.5% vs 18.8%). It offers diversification by cycling into volatility and leveraged tech, aiming for non-correlated upside during regime shifts.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.62 | -0.06 | 0 | -0.02 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 622.06% | 14.72% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.9 | |
| 194,594.25% | 69.23% | -9.35% | 1.91% | 1.43 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$19,469,425.29Regulatory Fees
$31,859.38
Total Slippage
$222,531.22
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 9, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Volatility timing, tactical allocation, leveraged etfs, rsi signals, high risk, market neutral, cash/t-bills
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 7 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
VIXY
ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks