Volatility Theory
Today’s Change (Feb 22, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily, rules-based “volatility toggle” that rotates among UVXY/VIXY (benefit from rising fear), TECL (3× tech on deep dips), BTAL (defensive long/short), or SHV (cash-like), based on how stretched stocks are and whether fear is accelerating.
Rebalanced daily. It gauges how “hot/cold” markets are using a speedometer-like score (RSI: high=overheated, low=washed‑out). If the S&P 500 or Nasdaq‑100 are very hot, it buys UVXY, a fund that jumps when fear/volatility rises. Otherwise: in strong uptrends it holds VIXY or BTAL (defensive long/short) only if fear is rising; else short‑term Treasuries (SHV). In weak trends, if tech is washed out it buys TECL (3× tech); otherwise it flips between VIXY and SHV (if fear is extreme, hold SHV).
A tactical volatility-tilt strategy rotating among UVXY/VIXY, TECL, BTAL, and SHV to diversify risk and seek upside in volatility. Out-of-sample: ~11% annualized, Calmar ~0.47—an added fear-hedge to the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.62 | -0.06 | 0 | -0.02 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 642.12% | 15.01% | 1.75% | 5.97% | 0.92 | |
| 214,742.45% | 70.82% | 12.12% | 13.91% | 1.45 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$21,484,245.42Regulatory Fees
$30,703.43
Total Slippage
$214,338.04
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 9, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical, volatility, market timing, leveraged etfs, vix, risk-on/risk-off, momentum, rsi, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 7 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
VIXY
ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks