Volatility Short-Term (SPY RSI + Vixation Strategies) (SVIX VXX BIL)
Today’s Change (Mar 16, 2026)
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About
A cautious, short‑term volatility strategy: keep ~95% in T‑Bills and use ~5% to bet on volatility rising (VXX) or falling (SVIX) based on simple momentum gauges (RSI) and recent market swings. Rebalanced daily.
Most money (~95%) sits in T‑Bills (BIL). A small sleeve (~5%) flips daily between:
- VXX: goes up when market volatility jumps.
- SVIX: goes up when volatility calms down.
It uses simple “heat gauges” (RSI: 0–100) on SPY (S&P 500) and on XLP (staples), TQQQ (3× tech), XLY (discretionary), FAS (3× financials).
- Very hot/overbought → VXX.
- Very cold/oversold and spikes fading → SVIX.
- Fresh spikes or big tech rebound days → BIL.
Out-of-sample edge: ~82% annualized return, Sharpe 3.19, Calmar 12.6, max drawdown 6.5%. vs S&P ~42% return and ~5% drawdown. Core 95% in Treasuries with a 5% tactical vol sleeve offers strong, risk‑adjusted upside.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.51 | 0.82 | 0.32 | 0.57 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52.17% | 11.25% | -2.85% | -2.42% | 0.7 | |
| 859.4% | 77.61% | -4.04% | 10.78% | 2.39 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$95,939.53Regulatory Fees
$205.73
Total Slippage
$1,215.40
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 23, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Volatility, short-term, tactical, vix etfs, risk-managed, daily rebalanced
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 12 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SVIX
-1x Short VIX Futures ETF
Stocks
SVXY
ProShares Short VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
VIXY
ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
VXX
iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN
Stocks