Volatility Index Black Swan Catcher W/TINA (Only meant for bear market)
Today’s Change (Aug 23, 2026)
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About
A bear‑market, crash‑catching system. It watches fear (VIXM) and short‑term “hot/cold” signals. When overheated, it hedges with UVXY; when washed out, it buys 2x/3x bounce plays; otherwise it toggles among QQQ, defensive staples, a mild short (PSQ), or cash‑like T‑bills (BIL).
First check fear (VIXM). If its 10‑day “heat” (RSI) is >70, treat it like crash mode. Then 3 mini‑bots (S&P 500, Nasdaq‑100, Semis) act:
- If their leveraged cousin looks too hot (RSI>~80), buy UVXY (volatility spike hedge).
- If too cold (RSI<~30), buy a 2x/3x bull ETF for a bounce.
- Otherwise use TINA rules: If QQQ above its 20‑day average, either fade a >5.5% 10‑day surge with PSQ or own the stronger of QQQ/XLP. If below the average, buy TECL only if very oversold, else sit in BIL.
Out-of-sample edge: higher upside with steady risk control vs the S&P. Annualized return 27.74% vs 21.11%, lower drawdown, and strong Calmar ~1.52. This delivers better risk-adjusted growth, especially in bear markets.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3 | 0.55 | 0.17 | 0.41 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 782.98% | 15.8% | 2.33% | 3.36% | 0.96 | |
| 20,874.35% | 43.33% | 10.09% | -3.05% | 1.71 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$2,097,434.59Regulatory Fees
$11,151.59
Total Slippage
$96,408.35
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Nov 30, 2022
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Bear-market,tactical,volatility-hedge,leveraged etfs,trend-following,mean-reversion,risk-on/risk-off,short-term swing
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 13 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SSO
ProShares Ultra S&P500
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
USD
ProShares Ultra Semiconductors
Stocks