Volatility Index Black Swan Catcher W/TINA (Only meant for bear market)
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
—
A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Bear‑market tactical system that watches fear (VIXM) and three “pop bots” for S&P, Tech, and Semis. It fades sharp run‑ups with UVXY or short‑tech, buys oversold dips with 2–3x bulls, and otherwise hides in staples (XLP) or T‑bills (BIL).
1) Checks for market panic via VIXM (a volatility fund). RSI (0–100 gauge of recent gains/losses): >70 = very hot, <30 = very cold.
2) Runs 3 mini-bots on S&P, Tech (QQQ), and Semis:
- Too hot? Buy UVXY (volatility often spikes when stocks cool).
- Too cold? Buy 2x bull (SSO/QLD/USD) for a bounce.
- Else “TINA”: If QQQ trend up but just popped >5.5% in 10 days, use PSQ (short tech); else own the stronger of XLP (defensive) or QQQ. If trend down and oversold, use TECL (3x tech); otherwise sit in BIL (T‑bills).
Out-of-sample strategy delivers ~31% annual return vs SPY ~21%, with stronger risk-adjusted metrics (Calmar ~1.91, Sharpe ~1.25) and smaller drawdown (~16% vs ~19%), plus lower beta (~0.90).
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.31 | 0.54 | 0.17 | 0.41 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 685.88% | 15.41% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.94 | |
| 21,911.77% | 45.51% | 9.21% | 16% | 1.79 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$2,201,176.55Regulatory Fees
$12,250.62
Total Slippage
$80,856.11
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Nov 30, 2022
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Bear-market, volatility-hedge, tactical rotation, mean reversion, trend filter, leveraged etfs, sector rotation, defensive cash
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 13 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
SSO
ProShares Ultra S&P500
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
USD
ProShares Ultra Semiconductors
Stocks