Volatility Index Black Swan Catcher W/TINA (Only meant for bear market)
Today’s Change (Oct 22, 2026)
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About
A high-risk bear-market strategy that tries to catch crash spikes, oversold rebounds, and defensive rotations using tech, semis, volatility funds, inverse funds, and T-bills.
This strategy watches the broad market, big tech, and chip stocks. If fear in the market looks extreme, it can buy a volatility fund that tends to jump during crashes. If stocks look heavily beaten down, it may buy aggressive “bounce” funds. Otherwise it uses a bear-market playbook: sometimes bet against tech, sometimes hold defensive consumer-staples stocks, sometimes hold QQQ, and often hide in very short-term Treasury bills (BIL).
Out-of-sample edge: 27.18% annualized return vs 20.35% S&P; lower drawdown (18.28% vs 18.76%); Calmar ~1.49. A diversified bear-market strategy using volatility hedges and defensive bets for resilient, risk-aware gains.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.29 | 0.55 | 0.17 | 0.41 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 793.64% | 15.7% | -0.05% | 3.57% | 0.96 | |
| 21,616.51% | 43.09% | -0.58% | 14.13% | 1.71 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$2,171,651.24Regulatory Fees
$11,755.33
Total Slippage
$99,983.74
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Nov 30, 2022
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Bear-market tactical, volatility hedge, leveraged etfs, momentum, mean reversion, defensive rotation, tech-focused
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 13 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SSO
ProShares Ultra S&P500
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
USD
ProShares Ultra Semiconductors
Stocks