Volatility Index Black Swan Catcher
Today’s Change (Mar 13, 2026)
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About
A fast, daily-rotating playbook that tries to catch crashes and rebounds in tech and semis. It uses volatility spikes, overbought/oversold signals, and bond trend checks to switch among 3x bull/bear ETFs, VIX products, and safe‑haven bonds/cash.
Each day it checks fear (VIX), stock momentum, and bond trends. When fear spikes or prices look “too hot,” it flips into hedges (short tech/semis or long VIX). When prices look “washed out,” it buys 3x tech/semis for rebounds. If nothing is extreme, it parks in T‑bills or a bond/volatility mix. “RSI” is a speedometer: high=overheated, low=oversold.
Out-of-sample shows ~68% annualized return vs SPY’s ~21%, with Sharpe ~1.35 and Calmar ~1.48. It uses tech/semis rotations and volatility hedges for upside, but carries higher drawdowns in stress; a leveraged sleeve to boost core exposure.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.53 | 1.58 | 0.37 | 0.61 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53.03% | 11.43% | -2.23% | -2.01% | 0.71 | |
| 1,053.62% | 86.24% | -8.53% | -8.41% | 1.58 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$115,362.29Regulatory Fees
$402.59
Total Slippage
$2,398.06
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Dec 14, 2022
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical, volatility-driven, leveraged etfs, momentum, tech/semiconductors, risk-on/risk-off, daily rebalanced
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 20 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SMH
VanEck Semiconductor ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SOXS
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks