Volatility Index Black Swan Catcher
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
A daily-rebalanced, multi-basket strategy that uses RSI-based momentum signals on tech and semiconductors, paired with volatility/ bond hedges, to tilt between leveraged tech exposures and safer assets in a way designed to capture upside while protecting against volatility spikes.
Plain-language outline:
1) Watch several markets at once (tech, semiconductors, volatility hedges, bonds).
2) For each market, compute a momentum score (RSI) over multiple timeframes (roughly 10, 20, 30 days).
3) If momentum looks strong in a base asset, tilt into a leveraged long or related ETF; if momentum looks weak, tilt toward hedges or safer assets.
4) Use a variety of pre-set baskets (groups) to organize which assets to hold. Pick one basket (or combination) each day and allocate according to the basket’s rules (often near full exposure to that basket).
5) Rebalance daily, with risk management built in via cash-like assets (BIL/SHY) and volatility hedges (SVXY, SQQQ, SOXL/SOXS, etc.).
6) The aim is to chase upside when momentum is favorable while staying hedged when volatility spikes occur. Note: Leveraged ETFs magnify both gains and losses, so risk is higher and not suitable for all investors.
Big upside: out-of-sample annualized return ~68% vs SPY ~21%, Sharpe ~1.35, Calmar ~1.48. Daily-rebalanced, tech-focused strategy hedges volatility for higher risk-adjusted gains than the S&P, with higher drawdown risk.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Dec 14, 2022
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Volatility-focused, momentum-based, leveraged etfs, multi-asset basket strategy, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 20 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SMH
VanEck Semiconductor ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SOXS
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks