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Volatility and Kelly Symphony - Replace SSO w/TQQQ -
Today’s Change

A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here

About

A daily volatility-driven mix of SPY, SHY, and levered ETFs (UPRO, TQQQ) that tilts toward risk-on as SPY volatility falls and adds leverage in deeper regimes, replacing SSO with 3x exposure via TQQQ.
NutHow it works
On every trading day, the strategy measures SPY’s 21-day volatility (how much SPY has swung lately). It then follows a rules-based tree to pick weights that sum to 100%. If volatility is high, it combines SPY with SHY to add ballast; if volatility is low, it tilts more into stocks and, in deeper branches, into leveraged ETFs like UPRO and TQQQ for amplified exposure. The weights are explicit in the code (e.g., 75% SPY / 25% SHY in some paths; 100% SPY in others), and the plan prefers replacing SSO with TQQQ where leverage is used. All positions are rebalanced daily to keep the total at 100%. The approach aims to capture upside in calmer regimes while controlling risk with bonds in stressed regimes, with occasional use of higher leverage to boost returns when conditions look favorable. Note: leveraged ETFs can magnify both gains and losses and are most sensitive to daily rebalancing dynamics.
CheckmarkValue prop
Volatility-tuned, daily-rebalanced mix of SPY/SHY with 3x UPRO/TQQQ aims for outsized out-of-sample upside (≈46.8% vs 21.1% SPY) with bond ballast; note levered segments can amplify drawdowns in volatile markets.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
AlphaBetaR2R
0.091.640.640.8
Performance Metrics
Cumulative ReturnAnnualized ReturnTrailing 1M ReturnTrailing 3M ReturnSharpe Ratio
726.91%14.06%-1.77%0.2%0.85
7,574.14%31.02%-3.35%-2.53%0.95
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$767,414.28
Regulatory Fees
$693.31
Total Slippage
$3,756.29
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Feb 14, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Volatility-based tilts, levered exposure, daily rebalancing, equity/bond mix
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 4 assets in total
Ticker
Type
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks

FAQ

A Composer symphony is an automated trading strategy that executes trades based on parameters of your choice. Some symphonies are similar to holding one ETF in normal conditions and rotating to a different ETF when market conditions shift, for example a 5% drop in the S&P 500, while others use complex rules with dozens of triggers. However, complex doesn’t always mean better. A simple, well-structured symphony can be just as effective as an intricate one. Learn more about how symphonies work here.

The symphony is currently performing the same as yesterday today. Performance updates in real time during market hours.

The symphony is currently allocated toTQQQandUPRO. Holdings automatically adjust as market conditions change based on the strategy's rules.

Year-to-date, the symphony has returned 37.31%. You can adjust the performance chart above to view returns across different time horizons.

The maximum drawdown for the symphony is 42.87%. The maximum drawdown measures the largest peak-to-trough decline. It's an important metric to evaluate risk and the strategy's behavior during market stress.

To invest in the symphony, simply click the Invest button on this page. You'll need to open an account with Composer if you don't have one yet, then you can start investing. Composer will automatically execute the trades for you based on the strategy's rules. Composer also supports trading individual stocks, ETFs, and options.