Vol Hedge ?
Today’s Change (Sep 21, 2026)
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About
Switches between a fear spike hedge (UVXY) when markets look overheated, a tech rebound bet (TQQQ) when oversold, and a defensive mix of gold, short Treasuries, and the U.S. dollar when neither extreme is present.
Looks at a 10‑day price “speedometer” (RSI, 0–100): high=overheated, low=washed‑out.
- If a 3x tech fund (TQQQ) is very hot (>79), buy UVXY (jumps when market fear spikes).
- Else if a 3x S&P fund (SPXL) is very hot (>80), buy UVXY.
- Else if Nasdaq QQQ is very cold (<31), buy TQQQ (3x rebound bet).
- Otherwise hold equal GLD (gold), SHY (short Treasuries), UUP (U.S. dollar).
Note: UVXY and TQQQ are very volatile.
Out-of-sample edge: 33.23% annualized return and a Calmar of 1.43 vs S&P's 21.34% return; lower beta (~0.85) and smoother downside. Note the drawdown is larger (23.28%) and the Sharpe trails the S&P (1.16 vs 1.38).
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.43 | 0.33 | 0.03 | 0.17 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 780.46% | 15.69% | -0.5% | 2.26% | 0.96 | |
| 60,910.32% | 53.69% | 0.3% | 10.87% | 1.46 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$6,101,032.45Regulatory Fees
$8,065.13
Total Slippage
$67,792.03
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 7, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Volatility hedge,tactical timing,leveraged etfs,momentum/mean reversion,defensive assets
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 7 assets in total
Ticker
Type