VIXM vs. SVXY | AaronC
Today’s Change (Apr 20, 2026)
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About
A daily “fear vs calm” switch: if VIXM (fear) heats up vs SVXY (calm), rotate into hedges and defensive names; if calm leads, load the strongest leveraged stock‑market funds. Equal-weight, momentum/mean‑reversion blend.
Each day it compares a short‑term “hot/cold” score (RSI) of two volatility funds: VIXM (goes up when fear rises) vs SVXY (goes up when fear falls). If fear wins, it splits into a hedge (BTAL) plus the strongest defensives (utilities, staples, healthcare, Walmart/Costco) or energy up/down. If calm wins, it buys the hottest leveraged stock funds (SSO, QLD, UDOW) or energy. Equal‑weight; rotate daily.
Out-of-sample: ~25.3% annual return with ~12.9% max drawdown, versus the S&P’s ~20.3% return and ~18.8% drawdown. Strong risk-adjusted edge (Calmar ~1.96) plus volatility-based regime switching for resilience.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.34 | 0.85 | 0.29 | 0.54 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 545.35% | 14.96% | 6.16% | 5.09% | 0.91 | |
| 34,811.41% | 54.92% | 16.68% | 29.64% | 1.78 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$3,491,141.47Regulatory Fees
$14,817.14
Total Slippage
$90,744.56
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 13, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Volatility-regime switching, momentum/trend, defensive rotation, leveraged etfs, factor hedge
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 13 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
COST
Costco Wholesale Corp
Stocks
DIG
ProShares Ultra Energy
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
SCO
ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Crude Oil
Stocks
SSO
ProShares Ultra S&P500
Stocks
SVXY
ProShares Short VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
UDOW
ProShares UltraPro Dow 30
Stocks
UNH
UNITEDHEALTH GROUP INCORPORATED (Delaware)
Stocks
VIXM
ProShares VIX Mid-Term Futures ETF
Stocks