VIXM vs. SVXY | AaronC
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
—
A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily rotation that reads “fear vs calm” in markets. When fear rises, it shifts to a hedge (BTAL) plus strong defensive/energy picks; when calm returns, it rides the strongest stock indexes (SSO, QLD, UDOW) or energy (DIG).
Daily it compares “fear” vs “calm”: VIXM (up when market stress jumps) vs SVXY (up when stress eases) using RSI, a gauge of recent ups vs downs.
Risk‑off (fear>calm):
- If BTAL (a market‑neutral, defensive fund) is above its ~300‑day average, hold BTAL plus the 3 best of: WMT/COST/UNH, XLU (Utilities), XLP (Staples), DIG (energy long), SCO (oil short).
- Else, hold the 2 weakest of SSO (S&P 500), QLD (Nasdaq‑100), or BTAL.
Risk‑on (calm>fear): hold the 2 strongest among SSO, QLD, UDOW (Dow 30), and DIG.
Regime-timed rotation that protects in fear and compounds in calm markets. Hedge with BTAL plus defensives/energy when stressed, then tilt to top leveraged indexes. Outsample: ~25.3% vs 20.3% annualized; max drawdown ~12.9% vs 18.8%; Calmar ~1.96.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.34 | 0.84 | 0.29 | 0.54 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 520.93% | 14.77% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.9 | |
| 29,253.55% | 53.53% | 4.75% | 6.1% | 1.75 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$2,935,355.45Regulatory Fees
$14,250.71
Total Slippage
$87,166.27
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 13, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, volatility timing, momentum, trend following, defensive rotation, leveraged etfs, us equities, sector rotation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 13 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
COST
Costco Wholesale Corp
Stocks
DIG
ProShares Ultra Energy
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
SCO
ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Crude Oil
Stocks
SSO
ProShares Ultra S&P500
Stocks
SVXY
ProShares Short VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
UDOW
ProShares UltraPro Dow 30
Stocks
UNH
UNITEDHEALTH GROUP INCORPORATED (Delaware)
Stocks
VIXM
ProShares VIX Mid-Term Futures ETF
Stocks