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VIXM vs. SVXY | AaronC
Today’s Change

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About

Daily, it switches between defense and offense by comparing “fear” (VIXM) vs “calm” (SVXY) momentum. In fear: hold BTAL and 3 defensive picks or hedge with BTAL + a weak index fund. In calm: own the 2 strongest leveraged stock‑market funds.
NutHow it works
Each day it asks: is fear or calm in charge? It compares recent momentum (a simple up‑vs‑down “speedometer” called RSI) of VIXM (fear rises) vs SVXY (fear falls). If fear wins, it hedges: 50% in BTAL (a defensive long‑low/short‑high risk fund) and 50% in 3 defensive picks (from Walmart, Utilities, Staples, Costco, UnitedHealth, or energy long/short) with the best short‑term trend. If BTAL isn’t in a long‑term uptrend (price below its 300‑day average), it instead splits between BTAL and the weaker of SSO or QLD. If calm wins, it goes on offense: own the 2 strongest of SSO (2x S&P 500), QLD (2x Nasdaq 100), UDOW (3x Dow), and DIG (2x Energy). Rebalanced daily.
CheckmarkValue prop
Out-of-sample: ~31% annualized return vs ~22% for the S&P, lower max drawdown (~13% vs ~19%), and higher Sharpe. A regime-switching strategy that defends in volatility and rides rallies with targeted leverage.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
Alpha
Beta
R2
R
0.34
0.83
0.28
0.53
Performance Metrics
Cumulative Return
Annualized Return
Trailing 1M Return
Trailing 3M Return
Sharpe Ratio
517.55%
15.09%
3.07%
6.63%
0.91
28,273.26%
54.64%
11%
23.08%
1.78
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$2,837,325.70
Regulatory Fees
$11,933.57
Total Slippage
$75,663.57
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 13, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, volatility regime, momentum, trend-following, defensive tilt, leveraged etfs, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 0 assets in total
Ticker
Type