Vixen Basket
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
A daily-rebalanced, rule-based basket that alternates between volatility hedges (UVIX/UVXY/VIXM), inverse-volatility (SVXY), and growth/bond hedge proxies (QQQ, TQQQ, TMF, TMV, Treasuries, dollars) using short-term momentum signals. It exists in several variant versions, all aiming to protect against volatility while still seeking upside in bull markets, via a cash-equal allocation across components.
- The system rebalances every day, using a nested decision tree to decide which assets to hold and in what proportions.
- It centers on volatility hedges (UVIX, UVXY, VIXM) and inverse-volatility (SVXY) as core extremes, with bond-based hedges (BIL, SHY, IEF, TLT, TMF/TMV) and growth proxies (QQQ, TQQQ) for a more balanced mix.
- The first major rule checks a momentum measure on SPY (a broad market proxy). If the momentum indicator is strong (roughly when the measure is above a high threshold), the strategy leans into a volatility hedge by buying a 2x VIX futures ETF (UVIX). This is meant to capture protective gains if volatility spikes as the market looks overheated.
- If that condition isn’t met, the strategy considers an alternative hedge using SVXY (inverse VIX) and further branches into different market regimes determined by additional cross-asset signals (e.g., bonds vs. equities, and indicators like moving averages or cumulative returns on key assets).
- There are explicit “Bear Market” and “Bullish” branches that select sub-positions intended to perform in downtrends or uptrends. The Bear Market branch tends to tilt toward hedges (e.g., inverse vol, UUP, TMV), while the Bullish branch tilts toward growth proxies (e.g., TQQQ) and long Treasuries (TMF) to ride the upside while controlling risk.
- An “Extreme Volatility Hedge” path uses very short-term Treasuries (BIL) as a buffer against spikes in volatility.
- Each version (v2.0.0 to v2.0.6) follows the same general logic but with slightly different asset selections, weights, or conditioning rules, enabling a family of strategies that can be swapped or tested under different scenarios.
- Assets used include UVIX, UVXY, VIXM (VIX futures exposure), SVXY (inverse VIX), BIL, SHY, IEF, TLT (various Treasuries), TMF/TMV (leveraged Treasuries), UUP (dollar), QQQ/TQQQ (growth proxies), and occasional references to moving-average/price comparisons to guide decisions.
- The approach is designed to deliver hedging during volatility spikes while retaining upside participation in favorable markets, but it is complex, leverage-heavy, and subject to rapid regime shifts and volatility drag.
Out-of-sample annualized return ~38% vs ~22% for the S&P. Strong risk-adjusted edge (Calmar ~1.29) with systematic hedging and daily rebalancing. Lower market beta (~0.49) plus upside capture—though larger drawdowns can occur during spikes.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.43 | 0.3 | 0.02 | 0.15 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53.72% | 11.53% | -2.02% | -1.16% | 0.71 | |
| 405.92% | 50.9% | -6.37% | -8.9% | 1.35 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$50,591.67Regulatory Fees
$282.91
Total Slippage
$1,633.75
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 25, 2022
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Dynamic volatility hedging, levered etf strategy, cross-asset momentum, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 14 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SVXY
ProShares Short VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TMV
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks