VIX up, SPY Down, Educational Content
Today’s Change (Jun 22, 2026)
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About
Weekly S&P 500 timing using a volatility gauge (VXX) and a 0–100 momentum meter (RSI). Rotates into 3x bull (SPXL), 3x bear (SPXS), or Treasuries (TLT). Buys only very oversold dips, otherwise fades spikes. Leveraged ETFs: high risk.
Weekly it holds one of: SPXL (3x up S&P 500), SPXS (3x down S&P 500), or TLT (long‑term US Treasuries). First it checks VXX, a volatility “fear” gauge. If its short‑term RSI—a 0–100 heat meter—is hot (≥65), use SPXS; if very cool (≤31), use SPXL. Else it checks SPY: after a 5‑day drop >3%, usually short rebounds (SPXS) unless deeply oversold (then SPXL). If no drop: overbought → SPXS; high chop → TLT; else → SPXL.
Out-of-sample edge: 35.3% annualized return vs SPY's 22.2%, with ~0.77 Calmar and ~0.89 Sharpe. A volatility-driven, levered timing strategy targets higher upside and adds ballast via Treasuries, but beware larger drawdowns (~46%).
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.41 | 0.14 | 0 | 0.05 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 200.26% | 14.03% | 1.36% | 13.5% | 0.78 | |
| 955.95% | 32.49% | 19.79% | 8.43% | 0.78 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$105,594.79Regulatory Fees
$159.06
Total Slippage
$1,382.15
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 23, 2022
Trading Setting
Weekly
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, volatility, momentum, mean-reversion, leveraged etfs, s&p 500, treasuries
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 5 assets in total