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Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
Weekly switch among three: SPXL (+3x S&P), SPXS (−3x S&P), or TLT (Treasuries). Uses a fear gauge (VXX) and recent S&P moves to short when fear surges or the market is overbought, buy sharp dips, or hide in TLT when volatility is extreme.
Each week it picks one holding:
- If a “fear gauge” (VXX, which tends to jump when stocks are shaky) is running hot, it shorts the S&P 500 with SPXS (a fund aiming for −3x the S&P’s daily move).
- If fear is very calm, it goes long with SPXL (+3x daily move).
- Otherwise it looks at recent S&P moves: after a 5‑day drop it buys only if the selloff looks extreme, otherwise it fades rebounds; if not in a dip, it shorts when the market looks overbought, moves to TLT (Treasuries) if swings are wild, or stays long with SPXL.
Out-of-sample edge: ~45.68% annualized return vs S&P 500 ~22.26%, with proactive risk timing and weekly switches among SPXL/SPXS/TLT. Higher upside, but expect more volatility and larger drawdowns than the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.43 | 0.12 | 0 | 0.04 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 174.02% | 13.28% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.74 | |
| 987.54% | 34.34% | -4.56% | -16.72% | 0.81 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$108,754.18Regulatory Fees
$190.07
Total Slippage
$1,273.08
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 23, 2022
Trading Setting
Weekly
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged s&p 500, volatility timing, mean reversion, risk-on/risk-off, tactical allocation, weekly rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 5 assets in total