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Today’s Change (Nov 5, 2026)
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About
A weekly market-timing strategy that switches between a 3x bullish S&P 500 fund, a 3x bearish S&P 500 fund, and long Treasury bonds based on market fear, recent drops, and short-term volatility.
Each week, the strategy checks whether market fear is rising or falling using VXX, a volatility product tied to investor anxiety. If fear is high, it bets against the S&P 500 with SPXS. If fear is very low, it bets on the S&P 500 with SPXL.
If fear is in the middle, it looks at whether the market recently fell hard, looks overheated, or has become too jumpy. In rough conditions it may short stocks or hide in long-term Treasury bonds (TLT).
Out-of-sample annualized return ~30.6% vs SPY ~20.3%, with lower beta (~0.79) and a disciplined, volatility-driven rotation among SPXL, SPXS and TLT. Higher upside in uptrends and hedged risk signals, though drawdowns can be larger.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.38 | 0.18 | 0 | 0.06 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 209.09% | 13.75% | -1.04% | -0.34% | 0.77 | |
| 875.49% | 29.7% | -14.75% | -14.66% | 0.75 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$97,549.18Regulatory Fees
$163.92
Total Slippage
$1,402.78
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 23, 2022
Trading Setting
Weekly
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, leveraged etfs, volatility-based, s&p 500 long/short, risk-off bonds
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 5 assets in total