VIX Mid-Term Futures: SPY RSI predicts VIX (3 tickers)
Today’s Change (Jun 22, 2026)
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About
Daily, it reads how stretched SPY is. Very weak SPY: usually short volatility (ZVOL/SVXY) unless panic is extreme, then sit in PULS. Very strong SPY: go long mid-term VIX via VXZ. Otherwise, hold PULS. Goal: capture volatility swings with a risk brake.
Aims to profit from swings in market volatility (VIX). Each day it checks the S&P 500 (SPY) over 2–10 days with RSI, a 0–100 gauge of recent moves (low=fallen hard, high=run up). If SPY is very weak, it usually shorts volatility via an inverse VIX fund (ZVOL; use SVXY if needed) unless a panic filter says vol is already extreme (then it holds a cash-like fund, PULS). If SPY is very strong, it buys a mid-term VIX fund (VXZ). Otherwise it stays in PULS.
Out-of-sample edge: ~28.3% annualized return with ~5.7% max drawdown; Sharpe ~2.36, Calmar ~4.96. This strategy profits from SPY volatility swings, delivering higher risk-adjusted returns and far smaller drawdowns than the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.28 | 0.08 | 0.01 | 0.11 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 87.86% | 22.12% | 1.36% | 13.5% | 1.4 | |
| 148.67% | 33.48% | 0.05% | -0.53% | 2.61 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$24,866.51Regulatory Fees
$116.66
Total Slippage
$734.64
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Nov 27, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Volatility/vix, rsi-based tactical, daily rebalance, derivatives etps, risk-managed, short-term signals