VIX Mid-Term Futures: SPY RSI predicts VIX (3 tickers)
Today’s Change (Aug 6, 2026)
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About
Daily, it reads how stretched SPY is. Very weak SPY: usually short volatility (ZVOL/SVXY) unless panic is extreme, then sit in PULS. Very strong SPY: go long mid-term VIX via VXZ. Otherwise, hold PULS. Goal: capture volatility swings with a risk brake.
Aims to profit from swings in market volatility (VIX). Each day it checks the S&P 500 (SPY) over 2–10 days with RSI, a 0–100 gauge of recent moves (low=fallen hard, high=run up). If SPY is very weak, it usually shorts volatility via an inverse VIX fund (ZVOL; use SVXY if needed) unless a panic filter says vol is already extreme (then it holds a cash-like fund, PULS). If SPY is very strong, it buys a mid-term VIX fund (VXZ). Otherwise it stays in PULS.
Out-of-sample annualized return ~26.7% vs SPY ~17.6%; max drawdown ~5.7% vs ~18.8%; Sharpe ~2.31 vs ~1.02. A volatility-timing approach delivering stronger upside with far better downside protection than the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.27 | 0.08 | 0.01 | 0.11 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 93.66% | 22.31% | 2.46% | 6.63% | 1.41 | |
| 151.44% | 32.44% | -0.53% | -0.73% | 2.58 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$25,143.80Regulatory Fees
$124.76
Total Slippage
$778.10
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Nov 27, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Volatility/vix, rsi-based tactical, daily rebalance, derivatives etps, risk-managed, short-term signals