Vigilant Asset Allocation Approximation
Today’s Change (Nov 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A cautious monthly strategy that only takes risk when several major markets are all rising; otherwise it hides in the strongest safer bond fund.
Once a month, the strategy asks a simple question: have all 4 “risk” markets been rising over the last month?
The 4 markets are U.S. stocks (SPY), developed foreign stocks (EFA), emerging-market stocks (EEM), and broad U.S. bonds (AGG).
If all 4 are up, it buys the single one with the strongest recent gain. If even 1 is not up, it moves to safety and buys the strongest of 3 bond funds: corporate bonds (LQD), medium-term Treasuries (IEF), or short-term Treasuries (SHY).
Out-of-sample tested strategy offers stronger risk-adjusted performance than the S&P: Sharpe ~1.16 vs ~1.11, Calmar ~1.61, and a smaller drawdown (9.6% vs 14.7%). It protects capital by rotating to bonds when risk signals rise.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.05 | 0.22 | 0.1 | 0.31 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1,004.6% | 11.03% | -1.04% | -0.34% | 0.66 | |
| 411.37% | 7.37% | 0.94% | 0.56% | 0.6 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$51,136.86Regulatory Fees
$150.00
Total Slippage
$1,222.47
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Mar 2, 2025
Trading Setting
Monthly
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, trend following, momentum, global equities, bonds, defensive rotation, monthly rebalancing
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 7 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
EEM
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF
Stocks
EFA
iShares MSCI EAFE ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
LQD
iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks