Victorious VGT | Backtest from Jan 09 2008
Today’s Change (Nov 5, 2026)
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About
A tech-focused market-timing strategy that buys VGT after sharp pullbacks, but shifts into bearish funds or cash when the market looks overheated or weak.
This strategy mainly wants to own VGT, a fund focused on big U.S. technology stocks. But it only does that when conditions look favorable.
If the market looks too hot after a fast run-up, it moves into funds that rise when stocks fall. If tech or the market has just dropped hard, it buys VGT for a rebound. In weaker trends, it may hide in cash-like T-bills or briefly hold the broader U.S. market.
Out-of-sample return: 16.73% vs SPY 15.21%, with alpha and Calmar ~0.84. Tech-focused upside with hedges to curb losses; higher max drawdown (~20%) but stronger upside in tech cycles.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.24 | 0.46 | 0.24 | 0.49 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 668.89% | 11.46% | -1.04% | -0.34% | 0.65 | |
| 20,286.44% | 32.7% | 0.14% | -7.35% | 1.61 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$2,038,643.90Regulatory Fees
$7,737.95
Total Slippage
$62,616.91
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 27, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, market timing, technology sector, inverse etfs, defensive rotation, rsi, trend following
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 17 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
EUM
ProShares Trust Short MSCI Emerging Markets
Stocks
IOO
iShares Global 100 ETF
Stocks
IVV
iShares Core S&P 500 ETF
Stocks
MGC
Vanguard Morningstar Mega Cap ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SH
ProShares Short S&P500
Stocks
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SOXX
iShares Semiconductor ETF
Stocks