Valiant VGT (2024-11-02) mod by Claude | BT Sep 27, 2011
Today’s Change (Jun 22, 2026)
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About
Buys big U.S. tech (VGT) on deep dips. When markets run hot, it shifts to hedges (VIXY plus defensive EUM/BTAL). In unclear/downtrends it parks in T‑bills or uses a mild short (PSQ). Driven by a short‑term 0–100 “heat” gauge (RSI) and trend filters.
Goal: own big U.S. tech (VGT) only when markets look washed‑out; otherwise stay hedged/safe.
It uses a short‑term “heat gauge” (RSI: 0–100; high=hot, low=cold) on major indexes/sectors.
- Very hot: blend VIXY (spikes when fear rises) with defensive EUM/BTAL.
- Very cold: buy VGT.
- In‑between: trend checks pick VGT, cash‑like T‑bills (BIL), or a mild short (PSQ). Rebalanced daily.
Out-of-sample, this strategy delivers tech upside with hedges: ~22.32% annualized return vs ~19.78% S&P, lower beta (~0.68), Calmar ~0.93, and volatility hedges for diversification. Expect drawdowns near ~24% in downturns.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.41 | 0.36 | 0.09 | 0.3 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 722.94% | 15.42% | 1.36% | 13.5% | 0.94 | |
| 68,519.53% | 55.97% | 19.77% | 48.65% | 2.3 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$6,861,953.06Regulatory Fees
$17,322.78
Total Slippage
$149,195.95
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Nov 2, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, tech-focused, volatility hedge, defensive rotation, mean reversion, trend following, etfs, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 20 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
EUM
ProShares Trust Short MSCI Emerging Markets
Stocks
IOO
iShares Global 100 ETF
Stocks
MGC
Vanguard Mega Cap 300 Index ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SCHX
Schwab U.S. Large- Cap ETF
Stocks