v4.01 Pops l 18 April 2012 | No K-1 | BIL
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily, rule-based macro-rotation that uses momentum and risk signals to tilt between leveraged equity bets and cash/bond safety, always anchored by BIL and driven by a multi-block decision tree.
Every day, the strategy reevaluates a broad set of momentum and risk signals to decide which assets to hold. If market conditions look strong (Bullish), it tends to allocate to high-momentum, three-times leveraged equity bets (e.g., TQQQ, TECL, SOXL). If conditions weaken (Normal or Danger Market), it shifts toward safer assets or cash (BIL) and sometimes bonds (e.g., TMF) to reduce risk. The choice among assets is made through a layered decision tree that weighs indicators like RSI momentum, recent price trends, and drawdowns. BIL serves as the cash anchor, so even when making leveraged exposures, a portion stays in or is rotated into BIL. The system tilts toward bonds vs stocks using a “Bond > Stock” rule and further refines by comparing near-term vs long-term bond signals. The process is autonomous and daily, meaning the composition can change every trading day as signals evolve. Caution: uses leveraged ETFs, which can amplify both gains and losses and may not suit all investors.
Out-of-sample, this macro-rotation targets higher upside (≈29.5% return) with a cash anchor (BIL) and risk controls. Compared with the S&P, it offers stronger return potential and a solid risk profile (oos Sharpe ~0.88, Calmar ~0.72), though drawdowns can be larger.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.51 | 1.33 | 0.3 | 0.55 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 511.42% | 13.89% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.86 | |
| 526,859.21% | 85.11% | 3.04% | -2.68% | 1.71 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$52,695,920.60Regulatory Fees
$273,942.98
Total Slippage
$1,946,222.35
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 22, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Macro rotation, risk-managed, leveraged equity exposure, cash proxy, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 25 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
ERX
Direxion Daily Energy Bull 2X ETF
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
QQQE
Direxion Shares ETF Trust Direxion NASDAQ-100 Equal Weighted Index ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SVXY
ProShares Short VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks