V4 | Cautious Fund Surfing | 3x with V2 | Bear BUYDIPS, Bull HFEAR | No K-1 | SGOV
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
A daily, rules-based swing among 3× stocks (UPRO/TQQQ), 3× long Treasuries (TMF), and T‑bills (SGOV). Buys sharp dips or fear-driven weakness; uses a 55/45 leveraged stock‑bond mix in calm uptrends; otherwise parks in cash. No K‑1 funds.
Each day it checks: how bumpy stocks were, whether stocks have lagged short‑term Treasuries, and if QQQ/SPY fell ~5% in 5 days.
• In fear or on dips, it buys 3× S&P (UPRO) and/or 3× Nasdaq (TQQQ), favoring the steadier one.
• In healthy uptrends, it holds ~55% 3× stocks and ~45% 3× long Treasuries (TMF).
• If conditions look poor, it sits in T‑bills (SGOV).
Outperforms the S&P on a risk-managed, daily-rebalanced 3x stock/3x bond barbell. In out-of-sample data it delivered ~54% annualized returns vs ~22% for the S&P, with solid risk-adjusted metrics, though higher drawdown risk is possible.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.33 | 1.51 | 0.5 | 0.7 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 145.34% | 16.89% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 1 | |
| 1,862.31% | 67.81% | -0.48% | -3.9% | 1.59 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$196,231.47Regulatory Fees
$286.40
Total Slippage
$1,732.08
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 11, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etfs,tactical rotation,volatility targeting,buy-the-dip,trend filter,risk-parity,us equities,us treasuries,daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 7 assets in total
Ticker
Type
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SGOV
iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks