V4 | Cautious Fund Surfing | 3x with V2 | Bear BUYDIPS, Bull HFEAR | No K-1 | SGOV
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About
A daily tactical blend that “surfs” between 3x stock funds (UPRO/TQQQ), 3x Treasuries (TMF), and T‑bills (SGOV). In calm uptrends it rides winners; in choppy/downtrends it mostly sits in T‑bills and selectively buys 5‑day dips, avoiding big snapbacks.
Each day it splits money across several mini‑models with different lookbacks. It checks: 1) how “jumpy” SPY has been (volatility), 2) a short‑term strength meter (RSI) comparing stocks vs short‑term Treasuries, 3) trend/drawdown of SPY. Calm uptrends: it rides 3x stock funds (UPRO/TQQQ) and sometimes adds 3x Treasuries (TMF). Stressy markets: it parks in T‑bills (SGOV) and only buys sharp 5‑day dips in SPY/QQQ—skipping entries right after a >5% one‑day rebound.
Out-of-sample: ~50% annualized return vs SPY ~22%, Sharpe ~1.17, Calmar ~1.02. A tactical mix of 3x stock ETFs, 3x Treasuries, and T-bills aims for bigger upside while trimming drawdowns in choppy markets, outperforming the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.31 | 1.56 | 0.52 | 0.72 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 167.98% | 17.7% | 0.09% | 13.88% | 1.04 | |
| 2,191.43% | 67.84% | 4.35% | 32.67% | 1.58 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$229,142.85Regulatory Fees
$247.24
Total Slippage
$1,814.73
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 11, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, leveraged etfs, momentum/trend, buy-the-dip, volatility targeting, risk management, us equities, treasuries, t-bills
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 7 assets in total