V4 BWC: QQQ BlackSwanCatcher (2024 Edition)
Today’s Change (Mar 6, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Rules-based strategy that rides Nasdaq uptrends with leveraged tech (TQQQ/SOXL), but flips to volatility hedges (UVIX) or a safety mix (gold, strong USD, anti‑beta, defensive sectors, Treasuries) when markets get choppy or drop fast.
Goal: ride Nasdaq uptrends, dodge crashes. Signals: a hot/cold score (RSI), recent drops/bounces, price vs 25‑day average, and bonds vs stocks.
- Extreme heat or a sharp rebound after a plunge → UVIX (vol hedge).
- Deep drop and oversold → TQQQ/SOXL (3x tech/semis).
- Trend up → TQQQ.
- Choppy or bond stress → rotate into GLD (gold), USDU (strong USD), BTAL (anti‑beta), defensive sectors (XLV/XLU/XLP), or Treasuries (TLT/GOVT).
Dynamic regime-switching strategy captures Nasdaq upside with leverage while using volatility hedges and defensive rotations to protect against crashes. Out-of-sample results offer diversified risk versus the S&P 500 in volatile markets.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.64 | 1.46 | 0.25 | 0.5 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 56.54% | 12.13% | 0.54% | -0.34% | 0.74 | |
| 1,444.16% | 101.28% | 9.33% | -3.63% | 1.62 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$154,416.00Regulatory Fees
$535.23
Total Slippage
$3,210.45
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Dec 30, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, regime switching, crash protection, volatility hedge, leveraged etfs, trend-following, mean reversion, defensive rotation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 20 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
GOVT
iShares U.S. Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks