V4 Balanced Alpha 3x Leverage
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Rules-based portfolio using 3x/2x ETFs. A 50% bond-driven sleeve flips among long/short Treasuries, gold, SPY, or cash by trend/momentum. Two 20% sleeves ride stock uptrends (TQQQ/UPRO) or go to cash/tech oversold bounce. Plus 5% small-caps and 5% Dow.
Plain English: it’s a rules-based, high‑octane mix of ETFs that tries to ride big trends and step aside in bad markets.
- 50% watches TLT (long‑term US Treasuries). Moving averages (avg price over N days) define up/down trends. In an uptrend it owns TMF (3x long bonds) or TLT/SPY (whichever did better over ~60 days). In a downtrend it may own TMV (3x short bonds) or UGL (2x gold) if weakness is acute; otherwise it parks in SHV (T‑bills). RSI(10) is a 0–100 “pressure” gauge; very low (<31) = washed out.
- 20%: If SPY is above its 200‑day average (uptrend), hold TQQQ (3x Nasdaq‑100); else hold SHV unless very oversold, then TECL (3x Tech).
- 20%: Same rule but with UPRO (3x S&P 500).
- Always 5% URTY (3x small‑caps) and 5% UDOW (3x Dow).
These are daily 3x/2x funds: moves are magnified, good or bad. Rebalance only when weights drift ~5%.
Out-of-sample, this strategy delivers ~35.9% annualized return vs SPY's ~21.5%, with higher risk-adjusted Sharpe (~1.34 vs 1.28) and Calmar (~1.92). Max drawdown ~18.66–18.76%, offering compelling upside with controlled risk.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.23 | 0.92 | 0.39 | 0.62 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 724.66% | 14.11% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.86 | |
| 21,246.7% | 39.86% | -0.29% | -0.56% | 1.44 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$2,134,670.36Regulatory Fees
$2,981.09
Total Slippage
$18,312.00
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Dec 27, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etfs, trend following, momentum, tactical allocation, macro, risk-on/risk-off
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 11 assets in total
Ticker
Type
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TMV
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UDOW
ProShares UltraPro Dow 30
Stocks
UGL
ProShares Ultra Gold
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks