"V3.0.4.2fv" [HTX anti-twitch]| TCCC - Beta Baller | Deez, BrianE, HinnomTX, DereckN, Garen, DJKeyhole, comrade, Michael B | No K-1 (Fasting Vegan edition)
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
A rules-based swing strategy that rotates among cash (T‑bills), leveraged tech/stock funds, and long/short Treasuries using simple “hot/cold” and trend checks on stocks, bonds, commodities, and the U.S. dollar. Defense first; offense only when signals agree.
Steps:
1) Read long‑term trends of stocks (SPY) and bonds (TLT) to choose offense or defense.
2) A “hot/cold” meter (RSI): if too hot, park in cash (BIL); if washed‑out, buy the most beaten‑down tech/semis fund for a bounce.
3) If rates rise, hold inverse long‑bond (TMV); if rates fall, hold long‑bond (TMF).
4) Spikes in commodities or the U.S. dollar push it to cash, gold (PHYS), or a hedge (BTAL).
5) Otherwise a short‑term momentum screen holds one strong fund.
Out-of-sample: ~19.4% annualized vs SPY 23.7%; Sharpe ~0.58 vs 1.42; drawdowns ~63% vs ~19%. This rules-based, defense-first strategy adds diversification, hedges, and regime-driven risk controls to SPY.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Nov 16, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, trend following, mean reversion, leveraged etfs, risk-on/risk-off, cross-asset signals
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 34 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BRZU
Direxion Daily MSCI Brazil Bull 2X ETF
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
CURE
Direxion Daily Healthcare Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
EPI
WisdomTree India Earnings Fund ETF
Stocks
EWZ
iShares MSCI Brazil ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
LTPZ
PIMCO 15+ Year U.S. TIPS Index Exchange-Traded Fund
Stocks