V3 / Gas - Commodity Rotation - Long/Short - Modified by WaywardSon
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
Daily energy-focused strategy that flips long or short using simple trend checks on an energy index (DBE), then picks specific leveraged funds (BOIL/KOLD, GUSH/DRIP, ERX/ERY, OILU/OILD). If no clear signal, it rotates into weak commodity ETFs or holds cash (BIL).
It’s a daily, rules-based energy/commodity trader.
- It watches DBE (an energy fund). If energy just had a big pullback, it looks to go long; if not, and energy is slipping below its short-term average, it can go short.
- Long side uses bullish funds tied to natural gas (BOIL), oil & gas producers (GUSH, OILU), or broad energy (ERX). Short side uses their inverse versions (KOLD, DRIP, OILD, ERY).
- If a clear long/short isn’t triggered, it rotates into the most beaten-down commodity funds (oil DBO, gas UNG, uranium URA, agriculture DBA, base metals DBB, broad DBC) or moves to cash (BIL).
- It tends to pick the recent laggards within each group and splits equally among picks.
Out-of-sample edge: ~26.9% annualized return vs 22.6% for the S&P, plus lower beta (~0.5) and energy/commodity diversification. A rules-based rotation aims for higher long-run gains with controlled risk; expect drawdowns in stressed periods.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6 | 0.78 | 0.05 | 0.23 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54.81% | 10.93% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.67 | |
| 762.47% | 66.74% | -16.46% | 52.84% | 1.14 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$86,246.69Regulatory Fees
$502.27
Total Slippage
$2,770.35
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Dec 21, 2022
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Commodities, energy, long/short, leveraged etfs, rotation, mean reversion, trend, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 16 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BOIL
ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Natural Gas
Stocks
DBA
Invesco DB Agriculture Fund
Stocks
DBB
Invesco DB Base Metals Fund
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
DBE
Invesco DB Energy Fund
Stocks
DBO
Invesco DB Oil Fund
Stocks
DRIP
Direxion Daily S&P Oil & Gas Exp. & Prod. Bear 2X Shares
Stocks
ERX
Direxion Daily Energy Bull 2X Shares
Stocks
ERY
Direxion Daily Energy Bear 2X Shares
Stocks