V3 / Gas - Commodity Rotation - Long/Short - Modified by WaywardSon
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
Daily, tactical oil/gas strategy. Uses short-term trend to go long leveraged energy ETFs, or short via inverse ETFs when trend turns down. If signals are mixed, rotates across other commodity funds or T‑bills. High risk/volatility.
Each day it checks energy’s short-term trend using DBE (an energy‑futures fund). If the 3‑day average price is above the 7‑day, it buys one leveraged bullish oil/gas fund (e.g., BOIL=2x nat gas; GUSH/ERX=2–3x energy). If trend is weak but was recently strong, it “buys the dip.” If trend turns down, it uses inverse funds (KOLD/DRIP/ERY), sometimes splitting across several. If signals are mixed, it rotates among other commodity funds (DBO=oil, UNG=gas, URA=uranium, DBA=agri, DBB=metals, DBC=broad) or parks in BIL (T‑bills). Very volatile; rebalances daily.
Out-of-sample annualized return ~26.9% vs S&P 22.6%, driven by tactical energy/commodity exposure. Diversified rotations aim for higher upside with growth potential, but expect higher volatility and drawdowns (~42%).
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.62 | 0.76 | 0.05 | 0.22 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51.57% | 10.28% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.64 | |
| 790.29% | 67.27% | -1.15% | 48.66% | 1.14 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$89,028.84Regulatory Fees
$502.27
Total Slippage
$2,770.35
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Dec 21, 2022
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Commodities, energy, long/short, leveraged etfs, tactical, trend-following, mean reversion, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 16 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BOIL
ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Natural Gas
Stocks
DBA
Invesco DB Agriculture Fund
Stocks
DBB
Invesco DB Base Metals Fund
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
DBE
Invesco DB Energy Fund
Stocks
DBO
Invesco DB Oil Fund
Stocks
DRIP
Direxion Daily S&P Oil & Gas Exp. & Prod. Bear 2X ETF
Stocks
ERX
Direxion Daily Energy Bull 2X ETF
Stocks
ERY
Direxion Daily Energy Bear 2X ETF
Stocks