V3 | Fund Surfing | Michael B | Milder
Today’s Change (Jan 19, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A tactical “surfing” strategy. In calm markets, split between the most beaten‑down fund and recent winners (SPY/QQQ/tech set). In volatile markets, switch to long/short 20+yr Treasuries—or, if bonds are calm, rotate among SPY/QQQ, commodities, dollar, staples, and SHY.
It watches UVXY (a volatility/fear fund). If fear isn’t too hot, split money: 50% into the single most “oversold” fund (from SPY, QQQ, tech/semis, or SHY) and 50% into the 2 best 20‑day performers from that same list.
If fear is high, it either: (a) holds whichever 20+yr Treasury fund (TMF long or TMV inverse) looks steadier over 5 days, or (b) when both are calm, rotates among SPY/QQQ, commodities (DBC/DBA), the US dollar (UUP), staples (XLP), and SHY using the same oversold+momentum mix.
Out-of-sample: ~46.4% annualized return vs SPY ~21%. Volatility-gated, regime-switching mix of mean-reversion and momentum aims for standout upside and diversified exposure beyond the S&P, accepting higher drawdowns in crises.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.34 | 1.9 | 0.48 | 0.69 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 630.52% | 15.06% | 2.19% | 5.01% | 0.92 | |
| 176,034.34% | 69.4% | 11.66% | 13.63% | 1.37 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$17,613,433.60Regulatory Fees
$56,728.05
Total Slippage
$374,645.90
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Dec 14, 2022
Trading Setting
Threshold 20%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical-rotation, momentum, mean-reversion, volatility-filter, leveraged-etfs, treasuries, commodities, defensive-switch
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 14 assets in total
Ticker
Type
DBA
Invesco DB Agriculture Fund
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
SPY
SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TMV
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks