V3 | Fund Surfing | Michael B | Milder
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Calm markets: split between the most oversold and the top 1‑month winners among big US stock/tech funds. Turmoil: switch to 3x long/short long‑term Treasuries, or if bonds look steady, use a diversified mix including commodities, the US dollar, and staples.
1) Check market stress using UVXY (a “fear” fund tied to volatility).
• If calm (its 20‑day RSI, a gauge of how stretched buying/selling is, is below 70): put half in the most “oversold” fund from big US stock/tech choices, and half in the 2 best 1‑month performers.
• If stressed: usually pick either 3x long or 3x inverse 20+yr Treasuries (TMF/TMV) based on which has fallen less over 5 days (max drawdown). If both bonds are calm, do the same split but include commodities, the US dollar, and defensive stocks.
Regime-aware strategy blending momentum and mean-reversion with hedges to Treasuries/commodities. Potential upside well above the S&P 500 (≈47% vs ≈21% annualized), but with higher drawdowns—more upside and more volatility than the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.33 | 1.92 | 0.48 | 0.69 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 623.63% | 14.84% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.91 | |
| 158,281.89% | 67.39% | 3.22% | -5.99% | 1.34 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$15,838,188.90Regulatory Fees
$60,100.19
Total Slippage
$397,953.05
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Dec 14, 2022
Trading Setting
Threshold 20%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, momentum + mean‑reversion blend, volatility filter, leveraged etfs, multi‑asset (stocks/bonds/commodities/usd)
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 14 assets in total
Ticker
Type
DBA
Invesco DB Agriculture Fund
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TMV
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks