V3 | Fund Surfing | Michael B | Milder
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
—
A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A volatility‑aware rotation. When fear is normal, blend “buy the dip” and short‑term momentum across big market/tech funds. When fear spikes, pivot to Treasuries (long or inverse) or, if bonds are calm, a defensive mix of bonds, commodities, US dollar, and staples.
1) Check market “fear” via UVXY’s RSI (a 0–100 hot/cold meter). If it’s below 70 (calmer), split: half into the single fund that’s most “cold” (lowest RSI) among big tech/market funds, and half into the top 2 performers over ~20 days.
2) If fear runs hot (RSI ≥ 70), prefer Treasuries—pick TMF (3x long) or TMV (3x short) based on recent damage; if both sides of bonds look calm, rotate among safer plays (short‑term Treasuries, commodities, US dollar, staples) using the same dip‑and‑momentum mix.
Volatility-aware 2-regime strategy aims for out-of-sample gains: ~47% annualized vs 21% S&P, blending dip-buy momentum with leaders in calm markets and shifting to Treasuries in fear. Defensive tilts guard risk but bring higher drawdowns.
Loading backtest data...
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Dec 14, 2022
Trading Setting
Threshold 20%
Type
Stocks
Category
Regime-switching, momentum, mean-reversion, volatility filter, leveraged etfs, treasuries, commodities, defensive rotation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 14 assets in total
Ticker
Type
DBA
Invesco DB Agriculture Fund
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TMV
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks