V3 Dereck Nielsen All Weather Portfolio
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Rules-driven all‑weather mix across commodities, gold, Treasuries, and US stocks. Buys assets in uptrends, parks in T‑Bills when weak, and in tech uses tactical hedges or 2× funds during surges/slumps to balance growth and protection.
Split across 6 sleeves: DBC (broad commodities), GLD (gold), IEF (7–10y Treasuries), TLT/SHY/SHV (20+y/1–3y/T‑Bills), SPY (S&P 500) and QQQ/SMH/XLK (Nasdaq/semis/tech). It buys an asset only when price is above its recent average (trend). If weak, it moves to T‑Bills (SHV). A short‑term “heat” gauge (RSI) cuts risk when too hot and buys/hedges when too cold, sometimes using QLD (2× QQQ) or PSQ/QID (inverse). No fixed rebalance; rules trigger switches.
Better risk-adjusted gains with far lower drawdown than SPY. Out-of-sample Calmar ~1.95, Sharpe ~1.76; return ~18.84% vs SPY ~22.88%, max drawdown ~9.65% vs ~18.76%. Diversified, rules-driven all-weather strategy.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.13 | 0.28 | 0.27 | 0.52 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 585.13% | 14.59% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.9 | |
| 906.85% | 17.76% | 1.89% | 4.94% | 1.89 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$100,685.06Regulatory Fees
$180.79
Total Slippage
$1,134.46
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Mar 30, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
All-weather,tactical allocation,trend,momentum,treasuries,commodities,gold,us stocks,technology,semiconductors,hedging,leveraged & inverse
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 14 assets in total
Ticker
Type
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QID
ProShares UltraShort QQQ
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SMH
VanEck Semiconductor ETF
Stocks