V3 Dereck Nielsen All Weather Portfolio
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Rules‑based “all‑weather” mix: 50% trend‑follow in commodities, gold, and Treasuries; 30% tactical S&P 500; 20% tactical Nasdaq. Uses moving averages and an RSI hot/cold gauge to rotate into cash, Treasuries, or hedges during downturns.
Portfolio is split into sleeves and rotated by two cues: moving averages (trend) and RSI (0–100 hot/cold).
- 50%: commodities (DBC), gold (GLD) and Treasuries (IEF/TLT/SHY) only in uptrends; otherwise T‑bills (SHV).
- 30%: U.S. stocks via SPY—own above its 200‑day average; below it, buy tech on sharp dips (XLK) or sit in T‑bills.
- 20%: Nasdaq via QQQ—own in healthy markets; in weak/bear regimes switch among cash/Treasuries, inverse QQQ (PSQ/QID), or 2× QQQ (QLD). Extra rules cut risk when 12‑mo losses are deep.
Out-of-sample proof: higher risk-adjusted returns than SPY (OOS Sharpe ≈1.76) with far lower drawdowns (9.65% vs 18.76%), positive alpha and Calmar ≈1.95. All-weather diversification plus risk-managed tactical exposure aimed at more upside with less risk.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.13 | 0.28 | 0.28 | 0.52 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 570.79% | 14.38% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.89 | |
| 904.47% | 17.69% | 2.09% | 5.95% | 1.88 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$100,447.37Regulatory Fees
$181.99
Total Slippage
$1,142.33
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Mar 30, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
All‑weather, multi‑asset, trend‑following, tactical momentum, risk‑managed, crash protection, leverage/inverse, rules‑based
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 14 assets in total
Ticker
Type
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QID
ProShares UltraShort QQQ
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SMH
VanEck Semiconductor ETF
Stocks