V3 Dereck Nielsen All Weather Portfolio
Today’s Change (Feb 22, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A rule-based, all-weather portfolio that holds commodities, gold, Treasuries, and US stocks when trends are healthy, moves to T‑bills when weak, and adds tactical tech hedges or rebounds in bear markets. No fixed rebalancing; rules drive changes.
It splits money across commodities, gold, Treasuries, and US stocks. Each sleeve watches trend (moving averages) and “overheated/washed‑out” (RSI, a 0–100 score of recent gains vs losses). In uptrends it holds the asset; otherwise it parks in T‑bills or shorter Treasuries. The stock sleeves add bounce/hedge rules and, in deep bears, can use inverse or leveraged tech funds. Trades happen only when rules trigger.
Out-of-sample, this strategy delivers stronger risk-adjusted returns and far better drawdown control vs SPY: Sharpe ~1.76 vs 1.44, max drawdown ~9.65% vs 18.76%, beta ~0.52, Calmar ~1.95, with ~18.84% annualized return (vs SPY 22.88%). Diversified, rules-based.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.13 | 0.28 | 0.27 | 0.52 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 589.43% | 14.68% | 1.75% | 5.97% | 0.91 | |
| 899.2% | 17.74% | 2.8% | 7.63% | 1.88 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$99,920.21Regulatory Fees
$180.79
Total Slippage
$1,134.46
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Mar 30, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Multi-asset, trend-following, tactical allocation, momentum, mean reversion, risk management, leveraged/inverse etfs
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 14 assets in total
Ticker
Type
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QID
ProShares UltraShort QQQ
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SMH
VanEck Semiconductor ETF
Stocks