V3 Beat the Market | Michael B Mod Replace QLD with TQQQ
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Times the market with simple trend and “oversold” signals. In uptrends it holds QQQ (big tech). In downtrends it buys TQQQ (3×) only on sharp selloffs; otherwise it toggles between QQQ on short-term strength and SHY bonds for safety.
Uses SPY (S&P 500) as a market-health gauge via moving averages (short-term vs long-term). If trend is up, hold QQQ (Nasdaq‑100; big tech tilt). If trend is down and QQQ is “washed out” (10‑day RSI, a 0–100 momentum gauge; <30 = oversold), take a rebound bet in TQQQ (3× QQQ). If not oversold: when SPY > its 31‑day average hold QQQ; otherwise sit in SHY (short‑term Treasuries). Rebalanced daily.
Out-of-sample edge: 37.3% annualized return vs 23.2% for SPY, with Calmar ~1.15. A trend-led tech tilt that uses disciplined risk: levered bounce bets on oversold dips plus SHY safety in uncertain markets—seeking higher growth with managed risk against the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1 | 1.01 | 0.59 | 0.77 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 726.91% | 14.06% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.85 | |
| 3,399.81% | 24.77% | 0.33% | 0.61% | 1.09 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$349,980.82Regulatory Fees
$225.57
Total Slippage
$1,133.32
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Dec 18, 2022
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend-following, tactical asset allocation, rsi dip-buying, leveraged etfs, nasdaq-100 focus, bond safety, daily rebalancing