V3 Beat the Market | Michael B Mod Replace QLD with TQQQ
Today’s Change (Apr 19, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Times the market with simple trend and “oversold” signals. In uptrends it holds QQQ (big tech). In downtrends it buys TQQQ (3×) only on sharp selloffs; otherwise it toggles between QQQ on short-term strength and SHY bonds for safety.
Uses SPY (S&P 500) as a market-health gauge via moving averages (short-term vs long-term). If trend is up, hold QQQ (Nasdaq‑100; big tech tilt). If trend is down and QQQ is “washed out” (10‑day RSI, a 0–100 momentum gauge; <30 = oversold), take a rebound bet in TQQQ (3× QQQ). If not oversold: when SPY > its 31‑day average hold QQQ; otherwise sit in SHY (short‑term Treasuries). Rebalanced daily.
Out-of-sample trend/oversold strategy aims to beat the S&P: 37.3% annualized vs 23.2%, Calmar ~1.15, Sharpe ~1.23. It rides QQQ in uptrends, hedges with SHY, and tactically leverages rebounds with TQQQ for higher growth potential.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1 | 1.01 | 0.59 | 0.77 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 777.8% | 14.4% | 6.16% | 5.09% | 0.87 | |
| 3,668.73% | 25.2% | 7.68% | 6.84% | 1.1 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$376,873.40Regulatory Fees
$225.63
Total Slippage
$1,133.32
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Dec 18, 2022
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend-following, tactical asset allocation, rsi dip-buying, leveraged etfs, nasdaq-100 focus, bond safety, daily rebalancing