V2a | Holy Grail Simplified w/ RSI Divination + VIXen | DereckN, HinnomTX
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
Rules-based ETF strategy. Uses a 200‑day trend filter, RSI “heat” and recent pops/drops to rotate among leveraged tech, cash-like Treasuries, shorts, and volatility hedges. Optional VIX overlay aims to cut drawdowns. High risk due to 3x and VIX ETFs.
1) Check if the S&P 500 (SPY) is above its 200‑day average (long‑term trend).
• Uptrend: If stocks look “too hot” (RSI very high), briefly hedge/short (UVXY/SQQQ). Otherwise favor tech (TECL) unless short‑term Treasuries look better.
• Downtrend: “Buy dips, sell rips.” After sharp pops, briefly short or buy volatility; otherwise blend tech/semis with T‑bills/TIPS, picking whichever is more beaten‑down (lower RSI).
• When considering a short, it first checks the US dollar and gold; if they’re stronger, it may choose them instead. Optional “VIXen” adds a volatility sleeve: long VIX when markets are euphoric, short VIX/long bonds when calm.
Notes: RSI is a 0–100 “heat” score of recent moves (>80 hot, <30 cold). 200‑day avg = long‑term trend. 3x ETFs magnify daily moves (higher risk). VIX funds track market fear.
Out-of-sample: ~56% annualized return vs SPY ~22%; Calmar ~1.53. Higher upside from trend-driven tech rotation with optional VIX hedges, but drawdowns can reach ~37%. A growth-focused, risk-managed alternative to SPY.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 6, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 2%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical rotation, leveraged etfs, trend + mean reversion, volatility hedge (vix), tech-heavy, bonds/cash overlay, macro (usd/gold) checks, optional overlay
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 35 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
EDV
Vanguard World Funds Extended Duration ETF
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
QQQE
Direxion Shares ETF Trust Direxion NASDAQ-100 Equal Weighted Index ETF
Stocks
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks