V2.2d | Commander BND Monthly | Trades Monthly
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
A monthly, rules‑driven “risk on/off” strategy. It reads the bond market (BND vs BSV) and a fast SPY tripwire to decide between leveraged stock exposure and defensive hedges. A small monthly rotator adds an aggressive tilt. Uses leveraged/inverse ETFs.
- Trades monthly. First, a fast “panic” switch checks if the S&P 500 (SPY) just dropped hard; if yes, it moves into hedges (inverse stock funds, long Treasuries, anti‑beta).
- Otherwise, it asks: are longer‑term bonds beating short‑term bonds over ~3 months (BND > BSV)? If yes, go “Risk ON” and rotate among leveraged stock funds (tech, semis, S&P, financials). If not, go “Risk OFF.”
- In Risk OFF, it decides if rates are rising or falling and picks defense to match (short/long Treasuries, energy, cash/T‑bills, gold miners, equity bear funds).
- A 20% satellite sleeve adds a monthly pick from an aggressive list. RSI here is just a “recent‑price heat” score to rank choices.
- Uses 2x/3x leveraged and inverse ETFs—expect big swings.
Out-of-sample: 37.5% annualized vs SPY’s 23%, driven by dynamic risk-on/off rotations and monthly tilts. Higher upside with hedges in pullbacks—accept larger drawdowns for potential alpha over the S&P 500.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Dec 9, 2023
Trading Setting
Monthly
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation,risk-on/off,trend-following,momentum (rsi),leveraged & inverse etfs,bond/rate regime,sector rotation,monthly rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 31 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
DIG
ProShares Ultra Energy
Stocks
ERX
Direxion Daily Energy Bull 2X ETF
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
FAZ
Direxion Daily Financial Bear 3x ETF
Stocks
GDXJ
VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF
Stocks
GUSH
Direxion Daily S&P Oil & Gas Exp. & Prod. Bull 2X ETF
Stocks