V2.2d | Commander BND Monthly | Trades Monthly
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
A monthly, rules-based “risk on/off” portfolio. It reads the bond market to judge the rate backdrop, adds a fast stock-selloff tripwire, and rotates among leveraged stock, bond, energy, dollar, gold, and cash-like ETFs—often buying the most oversold within each bucket.
- Each month, it first checks if stocks just dropped hard. If yes, it moves into defensive ETFs (Treasuries, inverse stock funds).
- If not, it compares long-term vs short-term bonds. If long-term is stronger, it buys aggressive stock/tech ETFs. If not, it picks hedges that fit a rising‑rates or falling‑rates backdrop.
- A small side sleeve picks one “most oversold” ETF each month.
Out-of-sample: ~37.5% annualized vs ~23% for the S&P, powered by a disciplined risk-on/off regime and fast crash protection. Seeks strong upside while containing risk—though drawdowns can be larger in harsh markets.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Dec 9, 2023
Trading Setting
Monthly
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, risk-on/risk-off, leveraged etfs, bond-signal regime switch, momentum/rsi contrarian, monthly rebalance, crash protection
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 31 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
DIG
ProShares Ultra Energy
Stocks
ERX
Direxion Daily Energy Bull 2X Shares
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
FAZ
Direxion Daily Financial Bear 3x Shares
Stocks
GDXJ
VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF
Stocks
GUSH
Direxion Daily S&P Oil & Gas Exp. & Prod. Bull 2X Shares
Stocks