V2.2a | Commander BND Monthly | Trades Monthly - K-1 Free
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
A monthly, rules-based tactical strategy that toggles between risk-on (levered growth bets) and risk-off (bear and hedging positions) using a bond-based macro signal, plus a momentum-driven RSI rotation to select assets. Designed for K-1 friendly reporting with diversified sources of risk and return.
- Each month, check a bond-based signal: compare 63-day returns of BND vs BSV. If BND’s signal is stronger, you allow more risk-on positions; otherwise you tilt to risk-off.
- Risk-On mode: select a small set of high-momentum, leveraged-long ETFs (examples include SOXL, TECL, TQQQ, UPRO, FAS) plus a diversification layer (e.g., LTPZ). The system uses a momentum filter (based on RSI and 60-day lookback) to pick the top assets and allocate roughly 100% across them for that month.
- Risk-Off mode: shift into hedges and inverse/bear exposures to protect capital. This sleeve includes SPXS (S&P 500 bear 3x), SQQQ (QQQ bear 3x), SOXS (semis bear 3x), FAZ (financials bear 3x), plus bear-treasury products (TYD, TMV, TYO) and other hedges (BTAL). Momentum (RSI) screens determine which hedges are used, aiming to reduce drawdown during market stress.
- RSI Rotator: a separate monthly rotation that polls a pool of assets (including gold miners, tech, semis, and energy plays) using RSI momentum. It selects assets with the strongest momentum in a given window and rotates exposure to them, helping to diversify sources of return and limit risk concentration.
- Rebalancing: the framework rebalances monthly, keeping the overall risk posture in line with the macro signal while aiming to capture momentum-driven moves in the chosen assets.
- Taxes: the design emphasizes K-1 free construction in the core, but investors should verify tax treatment of all holdings in their jurisdiction.
- Risk/disclaimer: levered and inverse ETFs magnify both gains and losses and are more suitable for short horizons; users should understand the compounding effects and potential for sharp drawdowns during choppy markets.
Out-of-sample, this tactical strategy targets ~43.2% annualized return vs SPY’s ~22.3%, with Calmar ~0.92 and Sharpe ~1.05. It uses macro-bond signals plus momentum-based leverage and hedges, rebalanced monthly (K‑1 friendly).
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 7, 2023
Trading Setting
Monthly
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, momentum rotation, risk-on/off, leveraged etfs, macro-bond signal, monthly rebalancing
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 28 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
DIG
ProShares Ultra Energy
Stocks
ERX
Direxion Daily Energy Bull 2X ETF
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
FAZ
Direxion Daily Financial Bear 3x ETF
Stocks
GDXJ
VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF
Stocks
GUSH
Direxion Daily S&P Oil & Gas Exp. & Prod. Bull 2X ETF
Stocks