V2.2a | Commander BND Monthly | Trades Monthly - K-1 Free
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
A monthly, rules-based plan that uses bonds to decide risk-on vs risk-off, adds a panic brake for crashes, and rotates into either aggressive stock funds or defensive plays (bond shorts, energy/USD, gold miners, T‑Bills). Uses RSI to buy what’s “cold.”
Trades monthly and splits into two parts: 80% core + 20% side bet.
Core: 1) If the S&P 500 just plunged, flip to hedges (Treasuries, funds that rise when stocks fall). 2) Else, compare bonds: if broad bonds (BND) beat short bonds (BSV) over ~3 months, go “risk‑on” with fast‑moving stock funds (tech/semis/S&P). If not, judge rates via TLT: rising rates ⇒ bond shorts + energy/USD + stock hedges; falling rates ⇒ gold miners or T‑Bills.
Side bet: buys one “cold” asset monthly (RSI = simple hot/cold score).
Out-of-sample, this strategy targets ~43% annualized return vs S&P’s ~22%, using a bond-driven risk-on/off framework plus a panic brake. Higher upside with hedges comes with larger drawdowns, but offers stronger long-term growth potential.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.47 | 0.99 | 0.2 | 0.45 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 281.43% | 13.33% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.79 | |
| 30,798.8% | 70.9% | -4.62% | 6.53% | 1.55 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$3,089,880.25Regulatory Fees
$1,823.59
Total Slippage
$11,388.64
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 7, 2023
Trading Setting
Monthly
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, leveraged & inverse etfs, monthly rotation, risk-on/risk-off, bond signal, rsi mean-reversion, macro regime, volatility-aware
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 28 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
DIG
ProShares Ultra Energy
Stocks
ERX
Direxion Daily Energy Bull 2X ETF
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
FAZ
Direxion Daily Financial Bear 3x ETF
Stocks
GDXJ
VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF
Stocks
GUSH
Direxion Daily S&P Oil & Gas Exp. & Prod. Bull 2X ETF
Stocks