V2.1 | Simple Man | AaronC - BT 10-10-2011
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A rules-based strategy that switches between bull and bear modes using QQQ’s long-term trend, rides recent winners in bulls, buys the most beaten-down names in bears, and occasionally shifts into volatility funds when markets look overheated or fearful.
1) It checks if QQQ (big tech index fund) is above its long‑term average price. That tells it if we’re in a bull or bear market.
2) In bull markets: if “fear” (volatility ETFs) is heating up or the market looks too hot, it buys volatility. Otherwise, it buys the 10 strongest names from a preset list, about 90% invested.
3) In bear markets: it buys the 2 most beaten‑down choices from a smaller list (now includes Nike), about 75% invested, and holds the rest in cash.
Out-of-sample edge: ~29.5% annualized return vs SPY ~22.9%, driven by regime-switching, bull momentum, and picked-down bear names with hedges. Caution: drawdowns can be large (~62%), so align with your risk tolerance.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.54 | 1.29 | 0.29 | 0.53 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 685.88% | 15.41% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.94 | |
| 1,419,011.73% | 94.41% | 3.01% | 5.5% | 1.84 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$141,911,172.75Regulatory Fees
$207,641.20
Total Slippage
$1,480,498.82
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 10, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 15%
Type
Stocks
Category
Regime-switching, momentum, mean reversion, volatility hedge, leveraged etfs, us stocks, bonds, tactical allocation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 36 assets in total
Ticker
Type
ADBE
Adobe Inc.
Stocks
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices
Stocks
BHP
BHP Group Limited American Depositary Shares (Each representing two Ordinary Shares)
Stocks
BX
Blackstone Inc.
Stocks
COST
Costco Wholesale Corp
Stocks
CSCO
Cisco Systems, Inc. Common Stock (DE)
Stocks
CURE
Direxion Daily Healthcare Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
GOOGL
Alphabet Inc. Class A Common Stock
Stocks
LLY
Eli Lilly & Co.
Stocks