V2.1 Holy Grail w/RSI Divination - without VIXen [CMP mod 2] (backtest version)
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
A daily, rules‑based, risk‑on/risk‑off strategy: ride strong trends with 3× S&P/Nasdaq ETFs, hide in T‑bills/bonds when weak, and hedge overbought spikes with inverse or volatility (VXX). Selectively buys TQQQ on deep dips. Replaces UVXY with VXX.
Daily, it first checks if the S&P 500 (SPY) is above its 200‑day average (risk‑on) or below (risk‑off). Risk‑on: two sleeves (Nasdaq and S&P) use RSI—a 0–100 momentum gauge (>70 hot, <30 cold)—plus volatility checks to choose 3× longs (UPRO/TQQQ), cash‑like T‑bills (BIL), or hedges (SQQQ/SDOW or VXX). Risk‑off: it mostly holds cash/bonds (BIL, AGG, TMF), gold (GLD) or anti‑beta (BTAL), and only buys TQQQ after big drops. Uses VXX instead of UVXY.
Out-of-sample, this strategy targets ~46.7% annualized return vs SPY’s ~18.2%, with Calmar ≈1.06. Uses risk-on/off regimes, hedges, and diversified buffers (bonds, gold, VXX) to pursue higher upside while managing downside risk.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.98 | 0.62 | 0.06 | 0.24 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 603.49% | 14.59% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.9 | |
| 144,410,953.94% | 169.14% | -0.54% | -3.49% | 2.52 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$14,441,105,394.09Regulatory Fees
$38,155,157.09
Total Slippage
$274,396,986.60
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Mar 21, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, trend + mean reversion, leveraged etfs, risk-on/risk-off, volatility hedging, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 15 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SDOW
ProShares UltraPro Short Dow 30
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks